Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.407385 0.537409 0.686754 0.868559 1.081483 1.320642 1.607218
2025-11-09 0.218844 0.367984 0.566385 0.838327 1.190188 1.619473 2.171872
2025-11-16 0.132701 0.286570 0.522122 0.879587 1.379850 2.028411 2.905293
2025-11-23 0.073723 0.213856 0.463664 0.882426 1.511670 2.371021 3.581022
2025-11-30 0.046704 0.180148 0.452222 0.946159 1.729081 2.838972 4.446362
2025-12-07 0.027338 0.147461 0.430116 0.984852 1.908683 3.262657 5.272079
2025-12-14 0.014120 0.116257 0.398350 0.997848 2.045158 3.628666 6.031852
2025-12-21 0.005791 0.086424 0.356073 0.980743 2.126959 3.914424 6.686632
2025-12-28 0.002315 0.068697 0.334290 0.996569 2.261187 4.281880 7.468716
2026-01-04 0.000630 0.052781 0.308736 0.998041 2.367658 4.608506 8.199546
2026-01-11 0.000044 0.036782 0.271930 0.965904 2.408255 4.830334 8.779546
2026-01-18 NaN 0.025531 0.242218 0.942030 2.458990 5.067334 9.386503
2026-01-25 NaN 0.018953 0.226448 0.950249 2.574006 5.419099 10.187831
2026-02-01 NaN 0.011731 0.197474 0.916644 2.603106 5.629046 10.777889
2026-02-08 NaN 0.009603 0.196382 0.959804 2.790034 6.112231 11.806437
2026-02-15 NaN 0.006516 0.182552 0.962454 2.892652 6.454351 12.621697
2026-02-22 NaN 0.005893 0.189489 1.029927 3.136266 7.047964 13.848165
2026-03-01 NaN 0.004685 0.188160 1.070863 3.325034 7.551107 14.940625
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003204 0.179126 1.084589 3.455001 7.954304 15.881053
2026-03-15 NaN 0.001732 0.162083 1.066433 3.512237 8.229237 16.619826
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001089 0.155388 1.083195 3.648543 8.649135 17.601080
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000565 0.145383 1.084748 3.749133 9.006151 18.485146
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000163 0.127786 1.050677 3.762820 9.203523 19.109840